An Empirical Study On Prediction of Financial Distress in China's Listed Companies——Manufacturing Industry as an Example

ZHANG Fang-fang, QING Ping-le

Jinan Journal ›› 2008, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6) : 69-74.

PDF(389 KB)
PDF(389 KB)
Jinan Journal ›› 2008, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6) : 69-74.

An Empirical Study On Prediction of Financial Distress in China's Listed Companies——Manufacturing Industry as an Example

  • ZHANG Fang-fang, QING Ping-le
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Abstract

This paper investigates financial distress in China's manufacturing in some listed companies with multivariable discriminate analysis (MDA) and multivariable logistic analysis (MLS),taking the sample of 109 ST companies and 109 healthy companies of the same size in pair (2002-2006) as referrence.It is concluded that variables reflecting a company's capability of profit,cash flow and share holders' gain play an important role in prediction.And of all,MLA gets better accuracy in prediction.

Key words

financial distress / multivariable discriminate analysis / multivariable logistic analysis

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ZHANG Fang-fang, QING Ping-le. An Empirical Study On Prediction of Financial Distress in China's Listed Companies——Manufacturing Industry as an Example. Jinan Journal. 2008, 30(6): 69-74
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